Property Edge
Experts are citing 4 key charts this week
For property entrepreneurs who run property like a business — not a belief system.
The 4 Charts That Say It All
Experts are citing 4 key charts this week on the state of the Australian property market. The usual suspects:
- Prices are at record highs
- Interest rates are biting
- New listings are still below average
- Migration is off the charts
It’s a solid data dump — until you realise:
These aren’t forecasts. They’re autopsies.
And while economists are poking the corpse, smart operators are doing deals out the back door.
Let’s break it down.
Chart 1: Prices Are Still Rising
Housing values in capital cities are up 30.2% since pandemic.
What the RBA sees: “concerning resilience in asset prices.”
What we see: opportunity baked into stagnation.
This isn’t boom-time froth. This is quiet upside — available to anyone who can create value through subdivision, uplift, or cosmetic renovation.
Chart 2: Mortgage Rates Are Hurting
Interest repayments now chew through 10.5% of household income, the highest since 2008.
Yes, people are hurting. Yes, the media is shrieking.
But also:
- Vendors are more flexible
- Buyers are more cautious (read: less competition)
- The froth is gone — finally
Which is exactly when the real pros lean in.
Chart 3: Listings Still Below Normal
New listings remain 30% lower than long-term averages.
Which means… less choice?
Nope. It means less crap. Less fake demand.
Fewer time-wasters.
When stock tightens, the off-market operators rise.
Those who know how to source, structure, and move fast get the jump.
Chart 4: A 300,000-Home Shortfall — and Growing
According to AMP and the ABS, we’re now 200,000 to 300,000 homes short of what we need — and that gap is widening, not closing.
The media blames foreign buyers.
Twitter blames tax concessions.
Reality blames maths.
Population is growing faster than supply.
Always has been, ever since immigration surged in the mid-2000s.
And as AMP puts it bluntly:
“When population-driven demand exceeds supply, prices rise.”
Simple. Obvious. Inevitable.
So what does that mean for you?
It means — if you’re not building, subdividing, renovating, or flipping…
you’re on the wrong side of the trade.
Because when everyone’s screaming about “housing supply,” what they actually need is someone like you to create it.
One project at a time.
What The Charts Don’t Show
The data says “buyer demand is down.”
We say: great. Less competition for smart deals.
The data says “mortgage stress rising.”
We say: good. More motivated sellers.
The data says “supply is constrained.”
We say: perfect. You can charge a premium for a turnkey flip.
Stoic Investor’s Mantra
“I don’t control the market. I don’t control the government.
I control my offers, my numbers, my execution. That’s enough.”
So What’s the Move?
If you’re flipping property as a business, not a belief system:
- You don’t wait for the RBA.
- You don’t rely on ‘hope’ or ‘sentiment’.
- You don’t blame the market.
- You run your model, price in risk, and move when the numbers say “go.”
This is not investing.
This is manufacturing upside.
Final Word: The Data Is Noise. Your Execution Is Signal.
The charts are real.
The pain is real.
So is the upside — for those who build value, not wait for it.
If you want to flip in this market, it’s simple:
Know your numbers. Back your process. Execute fast.
Because while the economists are still debating what’s happening…
we’re already on the next deal.
Curious how some of our readers are quietly turning tired old houses into six-figure paydays — without using their own money, begging banks, or waiting for a unicorn deal to fall in their lap?
They’re not geniuses. They’re just using tools the market hasn’t caught up with yet.
We don’t advertise this broadly, but if you want to see how the system works — and whether it might suit your own plans — you can book a private walkthrough with one of our team. No pressure. Just intel.
Stay humble. Stay sharp. Stay active.
— Property Edge
